Polymarket Trader

theonechance

0x30feed64250cab6b6d9e4c8fa3e8841da41774bc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $211.29
Realized PnL: $969.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $369
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$14.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$19

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$7.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$9.62

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$5.7

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$5

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $91.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.9

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $86
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$11.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.4
Potential profit: $69.4
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $66
User PnL: -$11.88

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.99
Potential profit: $60.99
User PnL: -$7.78

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.66
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.33
Potential profit: $57.33
User PnL: -$22.18

DN SOOPers position

LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$9.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.93

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 82°F or higher on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.03

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.55

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.83

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.95

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.03

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.32

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?

Yes 27.7% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 19?

Yes 27.9% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 20?

No 95.4% 47.76 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 18?

No 94% 21.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 19?

No 84% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 19?

No 83% 70 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 18?

No 76% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 17?

No 75% 95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 11% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 72.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 82% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?

Yes 18.8% 76.29 shares