Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $50.04
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.51K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$92.6
Polymarket Trader
Xanthan
0x311c695295b4577870e71275fb6bbc816546d7ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $160.37
- Realized PnL
- $3.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $20.35
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $679.03
- Potential profit
- $673.26
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.73
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $567.14
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $538.11
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $520
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $414.79
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $376.67
- Potential profit
- $374.97
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $331.83
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $331.17
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $15.65
- Potential payout
- $309.94
- Potential profit
- $294.29
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $267.39
- Potential profit
- $261.38
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.5
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $213.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $27.65
- Potential payout
- $165.59
- Potential profit
- $137.94
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.18
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.93
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $115.26
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.34
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.9
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.55
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.21
- Potential payout
- $96.08
- Potential profit
- $88.87
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 2% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 9% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown 99% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp 15% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown 86% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp 11% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown 94% 15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown 50% 10 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?No 16% 28.12 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 95.6% 5.04 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Yes 16% 31.71 shares