Polymarket Trader

avger

0x3129813a51d43026d3f7a4d0d6b0e189857f22ed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.35K
Realized PnL: $5.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $8.34
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.55K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$41.7

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $70.86
Potential payout: $4.57K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$29.63

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $143.99
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $4.03K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $93.91

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $27.12
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $4.14K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.95

Yes position

Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $142.8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$57.2

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $336.51
Potential payout: $378.31
Potential profit: $41.8
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $36.51

Yes position

Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $208.69
Potential payout: $293.93
Potential profit: $85.24
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $203.93
Potential profit: $203.32
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$37.94

No position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $187.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $12.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $67.8

Yes position

Will Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $156.62
Potential profit: $153.41
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$28.11

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $120.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $29.25
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $20.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.35
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$8.35

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $15.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.35
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.6%
Current value: $6.47
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $10.77
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: -$3.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.18

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.5

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.96

Yes position

Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.95

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.2

Heat position

Knicks vs. Heat

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.55

New York Yankees position

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.92

Yes position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.06

Venezuela position

Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.46

Celtics position

Raptors vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.97

Japan position

First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.02

Hornets position

Suns vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.93

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Magic

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.49

Minnesota Twins position

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.38

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Heat

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.33

Australia position

First Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.92

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.83

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $136

Philadelphia Phillies position

Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.33

Cincinnati Reds position

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-6.5)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.47

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Kings

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.11

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Hornets

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.9

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 73% 82.19 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 67% 74.63 shares
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

Cincinnati Reds 93% 46.87 shares
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

Cincinnati Reds 64% 46.88 shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves

Milwaukee Brewers 8% 161.29 shares
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

Detroit Tigers 26.2% 65.21 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Under 67% 44.78 shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves

Milwaukee Brewers 62% 161.29 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 17% 47.61 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Under 91% 219.78 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Under 61.2% 32.67 shares
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

Detroit Tigers 46% 65.22 shares