0x3140...e463

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $323.64
Potential profit: $323.64
User PnL: -$10.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.1
Potential profit: $185.1
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.82
Potential profit: $154.82
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.73
Potential profit: $115.73
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.34
Potential profit: $112.34
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.04
Potential profit: $110.04
User PnL: -$6.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.43
Potential profit: $100.43
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.02
Potential profit: $98.02
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.53
Potential profit: $80.53
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.97
Potential profit: $60.97
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.65
Potential profit: $60.65
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.13
Potential profit: $58.13
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.07
Potential profit: $48.07
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.55
Potential profit: $44.55
User PnL: -$7.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.85
Potential profit: $43.85
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.66
Potential profit: $41.66
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $6.52
Potential payout: $40.77
Potential profit: $34.25
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.21
Potential profit: $39.21
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.02
Potential profit: $34.02
User PnL: -$2.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?