No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Polymarket Trader
illoqiq
0x314a5a0c97696a76b4926b43f6a661224f9d0fcb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $986.39
- Realized PnL
- $581.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $230.88
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $9.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.51
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $140.72
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $19.28
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.42
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$24.1
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.4
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $98.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $78.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $21.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $24.5
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Current value
- $56.12
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $33.89
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $66.08
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.68
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Current value
- $46.05
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $13.95
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$34.7
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$50.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $29.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $20.25
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $41.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$18.5
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $47.48
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $33.1
- Potential payout
- $41.63
- Potential profit
- $8.53
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $31.2
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$24.9
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $22.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $17.4
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $38.28
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$16.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.1
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.99
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.99
Estral Esports position
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
Miposhka Team position
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.31
paiN Gaming Academy position
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
Hamish Stewart position
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Kriish Tyagi
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.57
Yes position
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.95
No position
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.37
Yes position
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.68
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.58
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Sabres
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.56
Yes position
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Sohyun Park position
ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Lizette Cabrera
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
FOKUS position
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
Sara Saito position
ITF Takasaki: Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Sara Saito
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Miami Marlins position
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Andrea Pellegrino position
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lloyd Harris
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.7% 37.5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 16% 10 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 18% 50 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 41% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 66% 20 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 76% 20 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 56% 10 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 45% 10 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers 66% 10 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 27% 30 shares
- Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?No 99.9% 30 shares