Polymarket Trader

i.love.Frieren

0x314c9c0c6f60c3563cc29ef3f969d36e6d0b69dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.27K
Realized PnL: $9.59K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $513.48
Potential payout: $513.48
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $313.48

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $375.46
Potential payout: $375.46
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $175.46

Yes position

Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $155.67
Potential payout: $353.8
Potential profit: $198.13
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $12.67

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $198.31
Potential payout: $338.98
Potential profit: $140.68
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $24.08
Potential payout: $65.08
Potential profit: $41
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920.89

Yes position

Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.96

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.5

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.52

Norway position

Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.91

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.55

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.74

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.37

No position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.81

No position

Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.79

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.2

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.05

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.83

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.37

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.34

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.14

No position

Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.51

No position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.09

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.29

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 59% 169.49 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 59% 169.49 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 53.9% 185.62 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 47% 212.77 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Spirit 66% 476.19 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Team Falcons 33.8% 296.09 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Spirit 63% 476.19 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Team Falcons 46% 217.39 shares
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes 37.2% 53.8 shares
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes 36% 7.17 shares
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes 34.5% 57.92 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 58% 172.41 shares