N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $104.61
Polymarket Trader
maselMM
0x3150113acc90e6fb128ce529597de3bdffbe3be9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.32K
- Realized PnL
- -$190.29
- Win rate
- 18.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$104.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $5.51
Y
Yes position
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Y
Yes position
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
N
No position
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$11.03
Yes position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.71
No position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$30.04
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$258
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 32.8% 1,500 shares
- Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?No 32% 9.98 shares
- Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?No 43% 36.64 shares
- Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes 33.6% 59.95 shares
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No 56% 269.57 shares
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No 65% 442.56 shares
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 34% 442.56 shares
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No 65% 49.98 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 48% 100 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 51% 100 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 48% 451.31 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 51% 451.31 shares