Polymarket Trader

DVNBet

0x315702c0b94d0094c74d6cdadea3cae6363a7ebd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07K
Realized PnL: -$291.91
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $54.49
Potential payout: $789.69
Potential profit: $735.2
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $156.3
Potential payout: $710.48
Potential profit: $554.17
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $224.54
Potential payout: $595.59
Potential profit: $371.05
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $12.7
Potential payout: $362.88
Potential profit: $350.18
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $256.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $100.22
Potential payout: $299.17
Potential profit: $198.95
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.95

$140 position

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $41.45
Potential payout: $272.7
Potential profit: $231.25
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $263
Potential profit: $261.03
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $130.73
Potential payout: $225.4
Potential profit: $94.67
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $17.83

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $93.65
Potential payout: $124.04
Potential profit: $30.39
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 65.6%
Current value: $77.75
Potential payout: $118.6
Potential profit: $40.86
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $24.86

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $89.78
Potential payout: $106.24
Potential profit: $16.47
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.66

Yes position

Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $46.42
Potential payout: $93.77
Potential profit: $47.35
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $7.51

Yes position

Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.4%
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: $5.08

No position

Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$6.3

No position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$293.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?

No 61% 23.47 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 15.3% 80 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 15.3% 95 shares
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.6% 67 shares
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?

No 64% 25 shares
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?

No 55% 103.47 shares
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

No 32.7% 127.99 shares
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

No 34% 62.68 shares
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

No 33.3% 108.5 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 9.9% 173.02 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 12.2% 70 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 11.3% 4 shares