Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
crazymerlyn
0x31676bc3d0dcacd46a71246f8d6e612a2185679e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.94
- Realized PnL
- $524.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gukesh Dommaraju finish second in the 2025 FIDE World Cup?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$70.44
Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 540 and 569 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $903.32
- Potential profit
- $903.32
- User PnL
- -$46.23
Yes position
Will Leland Olinger II win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.01
- Potential profit
- $510.01
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Clark Dean win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.01
- Potential profit
- $510.01
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.01
- Potential profit
- $510.01
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will Ken Yasger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.01
- Potential profit
- $510.01
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $505.01
- Potential profit
- $504.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $505.01
- Potential profit
- $504.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $505.01
- Potential profit
- $505.01
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $505.01
- Potential profit
- $504.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $404.01
- Potential profit
- $403.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $404.01
- Potential profit
- $403.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $340.01
- Potential profit
- $339.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.01
- Potential profit
- $340.01
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $340.01
- Potential profit
- $339.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.01
- Potential profit
- $340.01
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 NL West title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $339.1
- Potential profit
- $338.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Yes position
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $300.8
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $4.28
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.58
- Potential profit
- $288.58
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $288.58
- Potential profit
- $287.86
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.12
Y
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
"The Roses" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 65 and 69?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.05
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.76
Yes position
Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.5
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.19
No position
"The Roses" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60 and 64?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.4
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?
Ends Jul 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.75
Yes position
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.75
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.55
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 175–189 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.57
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: September
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Elon tweet 1500 or more times September 1–30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 570 and 599 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 510 and 539 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 42% 8 shares
- Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 33% 30 shares
- Will Charlie Hermosa win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 6.7% 20 shares
- Will Charlie Hermosa win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 6.6% 25 shares
- Will Marcel Camacho win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 2.9% 90 shares
- Will Douglas Moylan win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 1.2% 100 shares
- Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 43% 50 shares
- Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 42% 13.33 shares
- Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 29% 75 shares
- Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes 42% 47 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.9% 30.4 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.7% 170.01 shares