Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
Naorr
0x3170594f482764bc13c094c0109fd5304f0fec92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.34
- Realized PnL
- $338.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $292.47
- Potential profit
- $292.47
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.94
- Potential profit
- $258.94
- User PnL
- -$10.64
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $253.97
- Potential profit
- $253.97
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.03
- Potential profit
- $166.03
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.87
- Potential profit
- $162.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.76
- Potential profit
- $154.76
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.88
- Potential profit
- $128.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.04
- Potential profit
- $127.04
- User PnL
- -$60
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $97.9
- Potential profit
- $95.35
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.49
- Potential profit
- $96.49
- User PnL
- -$55
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$15
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.58
- Potential profit
- $87.58
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.69
- Potential profit
- $65.69
- User PnL
- -$9.21
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.81
- Potential profit
- $58.81
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.06
- Potential profit
- $54.06
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $27.79
- Potential payout
- $52.94
- Potential profit
- $25.15
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.94
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.48
Yes position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.64
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.23
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.84
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.94
Yes position
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Yes position
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Y
Yes position
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?Yes 51% 52.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 2?Yes 61% 31.15 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes 5.9% 84.75 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes 6.4% 78.13 shares
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes 40% 25 shares
- Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 21% 71.43 shares
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes 49% 102.04 shares
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 8% 41.66 shares
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 4% 25 shares
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 32.25 shares
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes 99.9% 102.04 shares