N
No position
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $47.46
- Potential payout
- $53.93
- Potential profit
- $6.47
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Polymarket Trader
0x3175...9bb2
0x31752a0ac1d4dc972ff9c8502601257bf3ae9bb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $89.96
- Realized PnL
- $7.05
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $14.28
- Potential profit
- $12.94
- Multiplier
- 10.64x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.04
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $7.09
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $6.51
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $3.89
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.1
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.26
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
IR Iran position
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Tunisia position
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
New Zealand position
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Iraq position
Spread: France (-3.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Cabo Verde position
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Tunisia position
Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Australia position
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Under position
Panama vs. England: O/U 13.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Over position
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Norway position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Over position
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Over position
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 50% 2 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 53% 18.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?No 46% 2.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 29?Yes 7% 14.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 29?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 29?No 76.8% 6.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 35% 5.71 shares
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Over 56% 1.79 shares
- Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 England?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Panama vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under 64% 1.56 shares