No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $156.97
- Potential payout
- $158
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- User PnL
- $1.34
Polymarket Trader
tianshish
0x317941d5935ba73a48cac63e7fbd820370eab275
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $183.49
- Realized PnL
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $14.51
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.23
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.84
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.13
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.94
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will a handshake between Trump and Mohammed bin Salman only be photographed on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.3% 12 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.6% 15 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.8% 12 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.2% 12 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 99.5% 180 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.3% 190 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1.2% 180 shares
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in May?No 99.6% 5 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.5% 166 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?No 98.1% 68.11 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?No 98% 5 shares