No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $173.25
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$255.75
Polymarket Trader
abarbadan
0x317f5fa3d325f82317e5505da45f5dabd8f352fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $569.25
- Realized PnL
- $255.05
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $376.65
- Potential payout
- $810
- Potential profit
- $433.35
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $36.45
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.94
- Potential profit
- $237.94
- User PnL
- -$150
N
No position
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $19.35
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $183.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.78
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $12.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 810 shares
- Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 58% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 26% 1,650 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 531.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 86% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 52% 384.62 shares
- Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?No 63% 237.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 68% 147.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 64% 725.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 52% 390 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 51% 35.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 62% 300 shares