Polymarket Trader

Arsene

0x3193361a4b2e82a7c9fb5ab5e92aae8c568cb22c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $454.29
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $52.11
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$16.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.91
Potential profit: $401.91
User PnL: -$80.22

No position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $382.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $17.8
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $74.2

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $65.03
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $5.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Up 5.9% 1,708.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Down 20% 401.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Up 2.3% 1,092.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Up 10% 250 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 17% 85 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 77% 400 shares
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.9% 3,594 shares

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