Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.55K
- Potential profit
- $75.55K
- User PnL
- -$542.32
Polymarket Trader
0x3199558b7a112beB9363Ba82A71d985B174CFDF3-1751313878028
0x3199558b7a112beb9363ba82a71d985b174cfdf3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $532.41
- Realized PnL
- $33.59K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $70K
- User PnL
- -$129.78
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- User PnL
- -$529.98
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $274.91
- Potential payout
- $9.65K
- Potential profit
- $9.37K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $178.45
Yes position
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.2K
- User PnL
- -$580
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$130.5
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$200
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$88
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $163
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$198
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $756.89
- Potential profit
- $756.89
- User PnL
- -$37.84
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.04
- Potential profit
- $128.04
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.5
- Potential profit
- $70.5
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.17
- Potential profit
- $32.17
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $810.38
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $278.75
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $148.86
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.8
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.61
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$61
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85.51
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.66
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$109.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 70 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?1.5% 466.67 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 12% 313.6 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 0.1% 1,999.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes 0.1% 3,333 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 22?Yes 13% 1,000 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 10,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp 22.5% 22.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp 50% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown 35.5% 70.5 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 9.3% 2,505 shares