No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $26.51K
- Potential payout
- $26.6K
- Potential profit
- $93.11
- User PnL
- $543.51
Polymarket Trader
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0x31a5de21b1900ca96d81d166d49d26a39039b589
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.79K
- Realized PnL
- $5.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $15.86K
- Potential payout
- $15.9K
- Potential profit
- $39.76
- User PnL
- $65.58
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.82K
- Potential payout
- $10.91K
- Potential profit
- $81.8
- User PnL
- $15.76
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $10.68K
- Potential payout
- $10.79K
- Potential profit
- $102.48
- User PnL
- $10.77
N
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $617.83
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- $5.53
N
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $294.04
- Potential payout
- $295.52
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- User PnL
- $2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.72
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.63
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.14
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $373.39
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $361.23
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.03
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.17
No position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.65
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.47
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.84
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.07
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.85
No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.47
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.53
No position
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.03
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.01
No position
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.96
No position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.41
No position
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.39
No position
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.67
No position
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92
No position
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.3
No position
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 1,897.2 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.6% 2,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 2,752.3 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 99.7% 2,734.62 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 6,145.4 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?No 98.8% 620 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?No 98.8% 295.52 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 6,421.67 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.7% 3,500 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.6% 3,500 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 99.3% 1,491.21 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.6% 3,000 shares