No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $21.57K
- Potential payout
- $21.6K
- Potential profit
- $32.4
- User PnL
- $10.8
Polymarket Trader
Writeoff
0x31abc8e60d347b6b3093477e586e80b29c2f86cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.61K
- Realized PnL
- $24.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $11.39K
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $208.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $11.39K
- Potential payout
- $11.53K
- Potential profit
- $138.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.86K
Yes position
Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$828.32
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $9.19K
- Potential payout
- $9.88K
- Potential profit
- $686.56
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $388.8
Yes position
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $9.83K
- Potential profit
- $9.83K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$814.63
Yes position
Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $9.78K
- Potential profit
- $9.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$810.26
Yes position
Will Kraken have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $9.68K
- Potential profit
- $9.68K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$802.09
Yes position
Will Epic Games have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $9.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$786.93
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $9.49K
- Potential profit
- $9.48K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$785.94
Yes position
Will Lambda have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $9.01K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$745.99
Yes position
Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $8.46K
- Potential profit
- $8.46K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$700.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $7.81K
- Potential profit
- $7.81K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$647.03
Yes position
Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $6.37K
- Potential profit
- $6.36K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$527.41
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.08K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $796.97
No position
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $659.56
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $656.01
Yes position
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.31
No position
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $545.99
No position
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.97
No position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $492
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $304.65
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $281.38
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $253.2
No position
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.23
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $224.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $223.26
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- $219.96
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.66
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $199
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $153.54
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.16x
- User PnL
- $149.23
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $126.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99% 169.32 shares
- Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 603.88 shares
- Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?No 99.9% 98.09 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 75% 55 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 74% 30 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 73% 25.19 shares
- Over $300M committed to the ALIGN public sale?No 99.3% 42.3 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 91.6% 77 shares
- Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 148.34 shares
- Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 83.33 shares
- Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 66.66 shares
- Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 71.42 shares