Polymarket Trader

blac4burn

0x31abddeaa01c27e708002b8b22aeddf2c518c6c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $263.26
Realized PnL: $181.06
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $263.26
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $89.39

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.16
Potential profit: $373.16
User PnL: -$14.18

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.81
Potential profit: $50.81
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.27
Potential profit: $31.27
User PnL: -$11.85

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: $50.82

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.82

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.85

Yes position

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.22

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.13

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $8.03

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 10.4% 28.85 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 89.6% 3.34 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 89.7% 3.34 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

No 9% 31.57 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

No 57% 31.58 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 99.9% 18.18 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 18.18 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?

Yes 74% 10 shares
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?

Yes 15% 13.33 shares
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway?

Yes 8% 25 shares