travino

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $42.83
Potential payout: $535.4
Potential profit: $492.57
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$57.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $65.93
Potential payout: $507.12
Potential profit: $441.19
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$53.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.05
Potential profit: $483.05
User PnL: -$42.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $221.38
Potential payout: $476.08
Potential profit: $254.7
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $121.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $378.02
Potential payout: $472.53
Potential profit: $94.51
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $248.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $465.71
Potential profit: $465.71
User PnL: -$50.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $463.26
Potential profit: $463.26
User PnL: -$39.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $80.65
Potential payout: $343.18
Potential profit: $262.53
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $62.91
Potential payout: $322.63
Potential profit: $259.72
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $19.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.41
Potential profit: $304.41
User PnL: -$19.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $283.48
Potential payout: $303.19
Potential profit: $19.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $233.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $49.53
Potential payout: $291.35
Potential profit: $241.82
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.89
Potential profit: $289.89
User PnL: -$35.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $20.28
Potential payout: $289.65
Potential profit: $269.37
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$16.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.79
Potential profit: $284.79
User PnL: -$45.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.35
Potential profit: $284.35
User PnL: -$35.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.34
Potential profit: $269.34
User PnL: -$46.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.25
Potential profit: $265.25
User PnL: -$22.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.36
Potential profit: $246.36
User PnL: -$43.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $18.68
Potential payout: $219.72
Potential profit: $201.04
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$29.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.08
Potential profit: $208.08
User PnL: -$10.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $50.72
Potential payout: $202.86
Potential profit: $152.15
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.38
Potential profit: $201.38
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.53

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.55

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET