Polymarket Trader

Shsjxyse

0x31b974f6fe64b16706dd10318e0ee46ce12806ce

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $242.11
Realized PnL: $255.49
Win rate: 82.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $251.38
Potential profit: $250.13
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.9
Potential profit: $245.9
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $37.03
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $150.47
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $22.03

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $107.69
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $77.5
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $77.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.65
Potential profit: $155.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.22
Potential profit: $133.22
User PnL: -$35.97

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.3%
Current value: $25.56
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $94.44
Multiplier: 4.69x
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.82
Potential profit: $91.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.28
Potential profit: $75.28
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $70.42
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.14
Potential profit: $69.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $16.9
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $52.07
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$3.1

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.05
Potential profit: $55.05
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $11.92
Potential payout: $40.41
Potential profit: $28.49
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $24.71
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $14.51
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $32.74
Potential profit: $27.34
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.06
Potential profit: $29.06
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.75
Potential profit: $28.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $23.29
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $8.62
Potential payout: $23.95
Potential profit: $15.33
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$1.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.95

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?

Yes 51% 39.22 shares
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?

Yes 29% 68.97 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?

No 9.1% 55.05 shares
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

Yes 41.7% 23.95 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 25% 120 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 30.5% 32.74 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.9% 186.33 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 13% 23.08 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 37% 40.54 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 24.7% 40.41 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 69% 28.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Up 43% 2.33 shares