Polymarket Trader

ethelali

0x31c8957abcb6fa1c1ac9835395acd3878f401a02

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.47K
Realized PnL: -$1.56K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.7%
Current value: $855.17
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $554.84
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$7.75

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $475.71
Potential payout: $598
Potential profit: $122.29
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $41.56

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $134.92
Potential payout: $223
Potential profit: $88.09
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$10.04

Penguins position

Spread: Capitals (-1.5)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.46
Potential profit: $133.46
User PnL: -$82.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57

Raptors position

Nets vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.59K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?

No 83% 26.72 shares
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)

Penguins 62% 131.92 shares
Nets vs. Raptors

Raptors 97.2% 101.83 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

No 70% 19.14 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

No 96% 14.91 shares
Nets vs. Raptors

Raptors 95% 13.96 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 72.6% 598 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 61.2% 1,410 shares
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?

No 76% 29.57 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Yes 55% 19.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4PM ET

Up 50% 3,179 shares