No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $16.31
- Potential payout
- $20.22
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Polymarket Trader
Moonscarfs
0x31c97e38d5b2a0566f783466cc325e9ac7439019
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.31
- Realized PnL
- $4.46
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.11
- Potential profit
- $20.11
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?No 89% 20.22 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?Yes 99.6% 11.04 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes 83.4% 10.79 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93% 23.5 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.6% 23.5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 22.94 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.9% 22.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.8% 23.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 92% 23.91 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes 92.9% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 95% 10 shares