Polymarket Trader

iGhost

0x31d00b3fedfd45cddc1565675f862e2a569a7f0f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.45K
Realized PnL: $5.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $476.78
Potential payout: $509.93
Potential profit: $33.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $50.23

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$375

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $471.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $28.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $81.75

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.34
Potential profit: $367.34
User PnL: -$251.79

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $311.4
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $48.6
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $26.25

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $295.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $54.25
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $44.05

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $275.22
Potential payout: $336.25
Potential profit: $61.03
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $29.35

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $271.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $25.5

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.57
Potential profit: $285.57
User PnL: -$156.95

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $244.31
Potential payout: $267
Potential profit: $22.69
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $25.37

No position

North Korea missile launch by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$176.6

No position

Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $209
User PnL: -$150.48

No position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.06
Potential profit: $158.06
User PnL: -$104.61

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$107

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$108

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $102.93
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $12.08
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $29.89

No position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$61

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.71
Potential profit: $68.71
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.27
Potential profit: $40.27
User PnL: -$29.72

No position

Maduro out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.97
Potential profit: $32.97
User PnL: -$9.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.07
Potential profit: $25.07
User PnL: -$19.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.49
Potential profit: $22.49
User PnL: -$19.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

TikTok sale announced before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

No position

TikTok sale announced before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740.92

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.73

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.3

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.49

No position

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.39

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.64

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.92

No position

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.48

No position

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.65

No position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

No position

North Korea missile test by September 15?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.48

No position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.25

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.83

No position

India x Pakistan military clash by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran leadership change by December 31?

No 72% 320 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

No 71% 30 shares
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 80% 100 shares
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 80% 200 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 71% 42.25 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 71% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Down 41% 4.46 shares
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

No 4.1% 177.5 shares
Iran leadership change by March 31?

No 88% 51.58 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 65% 76.92 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Down 94% 5.31 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Down 89% 5.59 shares