Polymarket Trader

jlb87

0x31d061dceeaa1b63ea0ed69efa2ca48ed6c57e80

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.19
Realized PnL: $9.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.29
Potential profit: $104.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.45
Potential profit: $15.45
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.21
Potential profit: $11.21
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Over 20M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $10.3
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114,000 on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 4-10?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

French election called by October 17?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $70 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 12.9% 15.45 shares
Iran leadership change by March 13?

No 91.9% 2.18 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 84% 3.92 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

No 40% 2.56 shares
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Yes 76% 2.42 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 80% 2.5 shares
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 86% 1.74 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 53% 1.89 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 53% 1.89 shares