Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $467.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Polymarket Trader
Daniedealer
0x31e911b256ec7f075147805791bd7ebbc336ec59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.5
- Realized PnL
- $50.8
- Win rate
- 58.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.8
- Potential profit
- $321.8
- User PnL
- -$29.95
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Magic
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.47
- Potential profit
- $83.47
- User PnL
- -$50
Saint Louis Billikens position
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.44
- Potential profit
- $57.44
- User PnL
- -$29.87
Yes position
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Team Nemesis position
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$18.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.96
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.01
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $16.96
Nets position
Grizzlies vs. Nets
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
India position
T20 World Cup: England vs India
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
India position
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
BIG position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.63
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.43
Imperial position
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffs
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)Saint Louis Billikens 52% 57.19 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 75% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETDown 18% 36.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETDown 26.9% 36.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown 9.3% 321.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown 50.7% 90.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown 11% 90.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 49% 33.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 29.9% 32.71 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 22.1% 98.03 shares
- Cavaliers vs. MagicCavaliers 59.9% 83.47 shares