Polymarket Trader

pawgshit

0x31f2f459d1d9673e608c780ed87aade12f33f75f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.09
Realized PnL: $1.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.73

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $185
User PnL: -$40.95

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$40.3

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $132
User PnL: -$68.77

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.02
Potential profit: $130.02
User PnL: -$14.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.99
User PnL: -$9.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.44
Potential profit: $112.44
User PnL: -$5

Royal Challengers Bengaluru position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$4.77

No position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$20.1

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $61.75
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $44
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 62.7%
Current value: $27.34
Potential payout: $43.58
Potential profit: $16.24
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $17.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$4

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.06
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.36
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: -$1.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.86

Yes position

Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.22

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.9

No position

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.72

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.95

No position

Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.61

Punjab Kings position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.72

Yes position

Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.37

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

No position

Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.03

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.66

No position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.39

No position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.84

Lucknow Super Giants position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.9

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.77

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.79

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.37

Punjab Kings position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.97

No position

Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.06

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.26

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?

Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?

Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?

Yes 3.2% 31.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 2.41 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

16% 18.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Yes 4.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 112.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 21.2% 45.99 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 36% 24 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 95.8% 279.09 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 86.5% 279.1 shares