Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $83.22
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Polymarket Trader
kjkaspj
0x31ff44447ca8efd8fca70c5f9192c37af6f898b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $152.95
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $57.41
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $50.62
- Potential payout
- $50.75
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $48.53
- Potential profit
- $48.12
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $40.75
- Potential profit
- $40.58
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $34.32
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$13.61
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $24.2
- Potential payout
- $27.98
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $20.01
- Potential payout
- $20.26
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $19.98
- Potential payout
- $20.04
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $19.55
- Potential profit
- $15.93
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.84
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $11.16
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $8.82
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $7.9
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $5.78
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1.51
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.83
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.09
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.76
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.47
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.47
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.23
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $42.71
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.63
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.9
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.39
Yes position
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.28
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.69
French Flair position
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffs
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $23.28
Rhodes position
Wrestlefest: Cody Rhodes vs. Randy Orton
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the first round?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.29
No position
Will FedEx say "E-commerce / Ecommerce" during earnings call?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.43
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.95
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02
No position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?No 40% 5.78 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.4% 1.51 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.4% 1.51 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No 32% 12.09 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 27% 74.07 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 1.51 shares
- Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?Yes 95% 1.58 shares
- Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?Yes 95% 1.58 shares
- Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?Yes 95% 1.58 shares
- Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?Yes 95% 2.43 shares
- Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?Yes 95% 2.43 shares