Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.68K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- $705.85
Polymarket Trader
MARIUSMC
0x31ff82a930a6031e3efc48c76f64f33f06b20d37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.63K
- Realized PnL
- $18.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Solana reach $240 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $735.11
- Potential profit
- $735.11
- User PnL
- -$92
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $719.56
- Potential profit
- $719.56
- User PnL
- -$79
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $683.09
- Potential profit
- $683.09
- User PnL
- -$146
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $583.8
- Potential profit
- $583.8
- User PnL
- -$242.58
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $114K on August 6 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $568.18
- Potential profit
- $568.18
- User PnL
- -$125
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $528.2
- Potential payout
- $535.43
- Potential profit
- $7.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $257.22
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $438.67
- Potential profit
- $438.67
- User PnL
- -$329
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $421.42
- Potential payout
- $427.62
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $155.53
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.52
- Potential profit
- $312.52
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 8 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.05
- Potential profit
- $309.05
- User PnL
- -$114.35
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 8 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $115K on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.84
- Potential profit
- $236.84
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Gerald Murnane win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.44
- Potential profit
- $225.44
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 5 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.41
- Potential profit
- $220.41
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 5 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216
- Potential profit
- $216
- User PnL
- -$75.6
Yes position
Pirates wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.32
- Potential profit
- $173.32
- User PnL
- -$129.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $120K on August 11 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.68
- Potential profit
- $168.68
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Solana reach $250 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.15
- Potential profit
- $157.15
- User PnL
- -$113.15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $885.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 6 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $659.24
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.84
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.56
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $609.28
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4100 August 4–10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.86
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.84
Yes position
Will Solana reach $190 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $538.44
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.42
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.48
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.9
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.04
Yes position
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.46
Yes position
Will Solana reach $250 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.73
Yes position
Will Solana reach $210 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.99
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.49
Yes position
Will Solana reach $200 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.66
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $231.8
No position
Will Patriotic Electoral Bloc (BEP) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.61
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 7 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes 58% 99.81 shares
- Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 53% 98.08 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 80.5% 2,452.81 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 79.5% 1,250.9 shares
- Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 50.1% 437.35 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes 63.5% 327.81 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No 45% 222.22 shares
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 78.3% 196.68 shares
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 17.3% 2,887.34 shares
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 19.4% 3,376.66 shares
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 61.9% 1,615.98 shares
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 12.5% 735.11 shares