Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $80.53
- Potential profit
- $69.26
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Polymarket Trader
0x3217...999c
0x3217ef859214efbacbde638267d03fe97aa5999c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $137.72
- Realized PnL
- -$15.76
- Win rate
- 39.1%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $32.53
- Potential payout
- $35.17
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $24.37
- Potential payout
- $26.06
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.51
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $18.78
- Potential payout
- $24.15
- Potential profit
- $5.37
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $16.94
- Potential payout
- $18.12
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.8
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.53
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.91
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
No position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.22
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.85
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.86
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.86
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 49% 15 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 54% 3.33 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.3% 115.38 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 18.6% 80.53 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 27% 6.81 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?No 63% 7.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 74% 6.81 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 13% 19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 34% 7.35 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?Yes 40% 3.05 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 55% 8.15 shares