No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $119.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $84.72
Polymarket Trader
0x3228...e7d3
0x3228b6d62589b573d65e22d265c00c7a2553e7d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $3.4K
- Realized PnL
- $776.68
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $117.18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $80.28
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $445.2
- Potential payout
- $735.87
- Potential profit
- $290.67
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$98.33
No position
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $474
- Potential payout
- $607.69
- Potential profit
- $133.69
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $79
No position
Will Trump nationalize elections?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $127.37
- Potential payout
- $146.4
- Potential profit
- $19.03
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $99.64
- Potential payout
- $105.83
- Potential profit
- $6.19
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.35
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.09
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.86
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $42.04
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.01
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.33x
- User PnL
- $37.9
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.87
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $35.26
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.7
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.53
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $27.28
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $26.46
No position
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.21
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.51
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.42
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 61% 166 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 55% 100 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 52% 200 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?No 98.5% 964.73 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?No 91% 503.66 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 77% 26.89 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 86% 377.98 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 37% 26.89 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 79% 377.99 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 63% 160 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?No 84% 503.67 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 436.95 shares