No position
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $749.06
- Potential profit
- $749.06
- User PnL
- -$599
Polymarket Trader
marketbear6165
0x322b5e741f96f9c8146b21a926573d8d39fe8743
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $381.8
- Realized PnL
- $693.9
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $381.8
- Potential payout
- $384.88
- Potential profit
- $3.08
- User PnL
- $43.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.7
No position
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.83
No position
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.97
No position
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.72
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.58
No position
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.47
No position
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.08
No position
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.14
No position
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.23
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.72
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.14
No position
Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
Yes position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Yes position
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$11.22
No position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.2
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$244.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 88% 384.88 shares
- Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No 29.2% 897.95 shares
- Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No 78% 897.96 shares
- Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No 85.5% 791.87 shares
- Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No 97% 702.81 shares
- Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No 83.9% 702.81 shares
- Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?No 80% 749.06 shares
- Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?No 99.3% 1,173.28 shares
- Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?No 93.8% 1,173.28 shares
- Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?No 99.9% 815.64 shares
- Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?No 99.9% 318.23 shares
- Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?No 94.3% 106.04 shares