No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
manirut
0x322d700c1dd23c7a6af13ee75680c948f01ad478
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.54
- Realized PnL
- $31.07
- Win rate
- 90.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $6.45
- Potential payout
- $859.82
- Potential profit
- $853.37
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.21
- Potential profit
- $26.21
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.72
- Potential profit
- $17.72
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.04
- Potential profit
- $8.04
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.3
- Potential profit
- $7.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.77
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Juan Manuel Cerundolo position
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Max Basing position
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francesco Maestrelli vs Max Basing
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Joel Schwaerzler position
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Christopher O'Connell
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?Yes 0.8% 500 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 63% 3.97 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes 42% 5.95 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 73% 5.75 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 1.63 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes 40% 3.75 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 27% 5.56 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?Yes 0.5% 359.82 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes 48.7% 2.05 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?Yes 21.7% 4.6 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 57.7% 3.46 shares