Polymarket Trader

APYFARM

0x3237d46c8fad2af34a93ff5eb6c1d0d8f2cb5658

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $322.89
Realized PnL: $186.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $558.55
Potential profit: $558.55
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.06
Potential profit: $104.06
User PnL: -$9.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.62
Potential profit: $73.62
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $20.45
Potential payout: $48.11
Potential profit: $27.66
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will 0–1 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $43.77
Potential profit: $41.8
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$16.85

Yes position

Will Vance say "Fraud" during Air Force Academy Address?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.38
Potential profit: $38.38
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.1
Potential profit: $36.1
User PnL: -$13.51

Yes position

Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $24.41
Potential profit: $23.79
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$9.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.24

Atlanta Braves position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.15

No position

Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61

ODDIK Academy position

Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ODDIK Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $5.92

New York Mets position

Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Under position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Guinea-Bissau win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Gambia win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

Yes 59% 100 shares
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?

Yes 47% 61.1 shares
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?

Yes 38% 61.1 shares
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?

Yes 19% 0.85 shares
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?

Yes 19% 21.23 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 10?

No 99.9% 50 shares
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.1B?

No 25% 56.83 shares
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 40% 19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?

No 99.9% 50 shares
Will BetBoom Team Win the XSE Pro League

Yes 28% 67.58 shares
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?

Yes 49% 0.54 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

No 85% 100 shares