No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Polymarket Trader
a636
0x32386a38776fc35e8659ba8e68bcab8e46b74282
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $64.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No 93% 13 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.9% 17 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.2% 19 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 99.9% 19 shares
- StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No 96% 23 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 94% 17 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 97.1% 18 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 92% 30 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No 92.8% 21 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 60% 22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 86% 21 shares