Polymarket Trader

datafocus

0x32388c3c7c2762d7c98090b1df6ece7a1a2b1521

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $423.16
Realized PnL: $16.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$1.58K

Yes position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $36
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $8.96K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.72K

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $387.16
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$20.38

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$406.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $966.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $954.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.96

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $866.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $325

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $292.13

Yes position

Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-12-01?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.3

Yes position

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-01?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Yes position

Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-01?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Yes position

Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Yes position

Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Yes 0.7% 500 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Yes 54.7% 500 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Yes 2.6% 1,500 shares
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 51 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?

Yes 5.6% 50 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?

Yes 10% 300 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 3?

Yes 0.3% 23.93 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 3?

Yes 0.4% 27.09 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 10% 1,000 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Yes 22.4% 200 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 0.1% 11,000 shares
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?

Yes 0.1% 5,600 shares