No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $208.25
- Potential payout
- $350.01
- Potential profit
- $141.75
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $12.25
Polymarket Trader
0x1b0CBD9980cfC5Caf2DEca2e7C3525cE140E9a84-1773608892906
0x3247dc03738107fdbcf9430c155a247339b03fcb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $607.18
- Realized PnL
- -$46.7
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $99.24
- Potential payout
- $135.02
- Potential profit
- $35.78
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $103.01
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $17.47
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $83.07
- Potential profit
- $80.04
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$16.97
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $50.74
- Potential payout
- $70.47
- Potential profit
- $19.73
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $62.38
- Potential payout
- $63.1
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $58.04
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.49
- Potential profit
- $30.49
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $27.62
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $13.32
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 23% 65.22 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 79% 91.46 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 48.5% 10.31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 28% 17.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETDown 57% 8.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp 73% 6.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp 55% 1.82 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 74% 13.51 shares
- Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 40% 12.5 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 27% 18.52 shares