Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Polymarket Trader
effe33
0x325f41d2b0b22d6b18ed8225945efd2023ed2c81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.93
- Realized PnL
- $107.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $5.86
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.49
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 7?Yes 99.5% 5.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?Yes 48% 4.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?Yes 48% 4.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 7?Yes 99.1% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 9?Yes 37% 5.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?Yes 60% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 7?Yes 99.9% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9?Yes 32% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 9?Yes 29% 6.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?Yes 47% 4.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?Yes 51% 3.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 8?Yes 37% 5.41 shares