Polymarket Trader

soren.xyz

0x326335414d8c6e458556032e76648cb9910a20c9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.2
Realized PnL: $11.82
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $29.42
Potential payout: $58.25
Potential profit: $28.84
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $26.75
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.92
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.79
Potential profit: $7.79
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

France to score first vs. Spain?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.84
Potential profit: $6.84
User PnL: -$3.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $11.15

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51% 58.25 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 59.8% 52.08 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 42% 11.9 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Yes 88% 5.04 shares
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

42.1% 11.53 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 52% 11.36 shares
France to score first vs. Spain?

Yes 55.1% 6.84 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 38.5% 7.79 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 5.05 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 6% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Up 53% 1.96 shares