Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $8.61
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $155.33
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Polymarket Trader
0x3277...f0b6
0x3277e45de1d1336267db47922823d2771021f0b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $71.01
- Realized PnL
- $869.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.01
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $139.04
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $18.21
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $105.25
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $8.21
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $12.08
- Potential payout
- $62.11
- Potential profit
- $50.03
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $53.18
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $21.31
- Potential profit
- $21.3
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $15.54
- Potential payout
- $15.83
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?Yes 31.6% 15.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?Yes 23.5% 21.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 24?No 99.9% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 24?No 99.9% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 24?No 75% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 24?No 66% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?Yes 41% 56.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?No 99.9% 37.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?Yes 14.6% 68.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 23?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?No 72% 41.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?No 79.7% 37.66 shares