Polymarket Trader

0x327a...4dfc

0x327a41849c3fe4223f5d19b0bea1fd3099d54dfc

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $68.84
Realized PnL: -$0.89
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $19.68
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $18.15
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $19.8
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $17.1
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.87
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $9.08
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.15
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.92
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0

No position

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.6%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Yes 3.7% 40 shares
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

Yes 16% 10 shares
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

No 78% 11 shares
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

No 96.2% 6 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Yes 79% 13 shares
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

No 90% 8 shares
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Yes 10% 13 shares
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

No 90.2% 5 shares
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 80% 5 shares
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

No 82% 6 shares
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Yes 18% 9 shares