No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.98K
- Potential profit
- $30.98K
- User PnL
- -$29.09K
Polymarket Trader
SBFfromprison
0x32835f17fbda571f0f02c0a3bf0a6f94d60a1da9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.69K
- Realized PnL
- $73.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $6.8K
- Potential payout
- $22.28K
- Potential profit
- $15.49K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $108.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $19.67K
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.85K
- Potential payout
- $18.36K
- Potential profit
- $15.51K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$9.61K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $10.9K
- Potential profit
- $9.86K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.97K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.28K
- Potential profit
- $9.28K
- User PnL
- -$7.89K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.07K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.49K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.22K
- Potential profit
- $8.22K
- User PnL
- -$3.07K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.81K
- Potential payout
- $7.81K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $893.74
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $6.26K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.35K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.21K
- Potential payout
- $6.94K
- Potential profit
- $728.91
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $361.85
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $6.01K
- Potential payout
- $6.43K
- Potential profit
- $417.78
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $597.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $6.39K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $600
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.53K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $197.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$957.47
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $82
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.92K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$257.98
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.8K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $60
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$390
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $126.67
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $206.67
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $786.49
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $513.49
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $144.5
No position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $661.14
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $340.59
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $108.64
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $888.74
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$78.75
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $535.79
- Potential payout
- $759.99
- Potential profit
- $224.2
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $69.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $284.99
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $314.99
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.19K
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68K
No position
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
No position
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
No position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761.53
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.7
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.9
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.88
Yes position
Will Solana reach $200 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.77
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.18
No position
SBF released from custody in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.04
No position
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 10% 73.32 shares
- US military draft authorized in 2026?No 86% 1,127.37 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 33% 1,800 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 2,941.97 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 30% 22.98 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 39% 20 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 85% 96.36 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 85% 1,211.81 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 52.6% 2,850.59 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 78.4% 1,913 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 30.3% 19,782.96 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 88% 3,407.87 shares