No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $3.54K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $460
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
thejoker96
0x329529e574926056dad6627e9677eef8511270f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.59K
- Realized PnL
- $24.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- User PnL
- -$2.47K
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $343.62
Yes position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $151.37
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$410
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.53
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $972.16
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.49
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.01
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.24
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.52
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.03
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.03
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.6
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $387.44
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.27
Yes position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.44
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.02
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.15
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.04
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $287.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 95% 827.23 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 78% 224.76 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 90.7% 248.74 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 92.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 93.2% 1,321 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 93.1% 10.69 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 93.1% 43.47 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 84% 159.18 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 378.88 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99% 528.56 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98.9% 200 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98.8% 6.12 shares