Polymarket Trader

nsociety

0x32afe7b398d547a83c1834347e32bff14d7a3de3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.41
Realized PnL: $5.11
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $10.7
Potential profit: $7.01
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.12
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.12
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

India position

T20 World Cup: England vs India

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Weed rescheduled by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Ethereum all time high by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 20% 5.55 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 84% 1.19 shares
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

Yes 15% 1.66 shares
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

No 97% 1.21 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 3.56 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

No 82% 1.22 shares
T20 World Cup: England vs India

India 99.9% 5.31 shares
T20 World Cup: England vs India

India 94% 5.32 shares
T20 World Cup: England vs India

England 13% 7.69 shares
Weed rescheduled by March 31?

No 97.8% 1.17 shares