Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $799.85
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $64.74
Polymarket Trader
bezneslawt
0x32b8ebfc50780854602cfce0d7916f21cd0a8927
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.41K
- Realized PnL
- $7.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $430.72
- Potential payout
- $465.64
- Potential profit
- $34.92
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $49.43
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175.83
- Potential payout
- $200.95
- Potential profit
- $25.12
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $745.79
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.93
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.06
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.36
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.7
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.33
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.3
No position
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.65
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 88% 4.5 shares
- Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 88% 100 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.1% 10 shares
- Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80% 10 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 617.28 shares
- Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 79.7% 99.98 shares
- Will Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94% 162.61 shares
- Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 58% 16.41 shares
- Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 54.8% 33 shares
- Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 62.7% 49.42 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 82.9% 10 shares