No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Polymarket Trader
XIANYU0616
0x32c5a058946213db6befa59ce6c018cbee60fa3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.39
- Realized PnL
- $8.04
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 10?Yes 4.1% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 10?No 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 10?No 84% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 5?No 34% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 6?No 98% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 6?No 98.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 4?No 96.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 4?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 4?No 99.6% 5 shares