Polymarket Trader

rickyvaughn

0x32d1623dddbd4841a98da71e47f0436d2ef2b949

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.35K
Realized PnL: $41.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $334.75
Potential payout: $17.17K
Potential profit: $16.83K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $315.37
Potential payout: $16.17K
Potential profit: $15.86K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $32.9

Yes position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $262.52
Potential payout: $8.08K
Potential profit: $7.82K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$1.32K

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $67.28
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.57K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$11.6

Yes position

Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.75

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.37K
User PnL: -$641.87

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.87

Yes position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $66.24
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $32.2
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$8.4

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $26.82
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$18.16

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $900.01
Potential profit: $884.71
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$3.3

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $194.56
Potential payout: $617.64
Potential profit: $423.08
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $6.06

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$32.4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.85
Potential profit: $352.85
User PnL: -$16.47

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$56

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.18
Potential profit: $318.18
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $274.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $182.06
Potential profit: $177.87
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$3.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.54K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $884.76

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $861.12

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $638.09

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.27

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $516.76

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.77

No position

Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.68

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.04

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.67

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.62

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $388.69

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $382

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.98

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $279.91

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.86

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $201.08

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $140.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 3.5% 341.3 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 3.9% 100 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 5% 300 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 3,000 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 3,000 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 1,900 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 2,500 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 2,000 shares
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 2.9% 1,400 shares
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 4.1% 253.58 shares
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 4% 469.59 shares