Polymarket Trader

lucazx

0x32e2f5340297f4fe844a8cbb65436bde573b6dbd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $131.66
Realized PnL: $107.65
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 80.8%
Current value: $131.66
Potential payout: $162.95
Potential profit: $31.29
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $23.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $114
User PnL: -$1.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.52
Potential profit: $53.52
User PnL: -$9.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.33
Potential profit: $39.33
User PnL: -$1.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.33
Potential profit: $37.33
User PnL: -$1.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$1.12

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$4.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.8
Potential profit: $22.8
User PnL: -$1.14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.64
Potential profit: $22.64
User PnL: -$4.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.4
Potential profit: $22.4
User PnL: -$1.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.2
Potential profit: $22.2
User PnL: -$1.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.83
Potential profit: $19.83
User PnL: -$1.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.5
Potential profit: $19.5
User PnL: -$1.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.79
Potential profit: $17.79
User PnL: -$4.98

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$4.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.63
Potential profit: $14.63
User PnL: -$1.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.17

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.07
Potential profit: $12.07
User PnL: -$4.83

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.26
Potential profit: $11.26
User PnL: -$4.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $10.91
User PnL: -$1.2

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.22
Potential profit: $10.22
User PnL: -$4.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.18
Potential profit: $10.18
User PnL: -$1.12

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$4.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.68

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.09

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.02

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 66.1% 162.95 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 109 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET

Down 1.3% 76.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET

Down 30% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET

Down 19% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 61% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 53% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Up 79% 1.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Up 72% 1.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 53% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET

Up 82% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET

Up 58% 2 shares