Polymarket Trader

WanderingImpulse

0x32f0bcf1625eb7c3238ecb8fe92b4dec58ac7f90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $243.94
Realized PnL: $1.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $72m?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $15.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $938.71
Potential profit: $938.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Polish strike on Russia by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $869.57
Potential profit: $869.57
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $815.72
Potential profit: $815.72
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $13.81
Potential payout: $812.5
Potential profit: $798.69
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785.91
Potential profit: $785.91
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $74.6
Potential payout: $785.29
Potential profit: $710.69
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$60.4

Yes position

Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $762.32
Potential profit: $761.17
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.86

Yes position

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $18.69
Potential payout: $735.73
Potential profit: $717.04
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$21.31

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $685.42
Potential profit: $685.42
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $61.06
Potential payout: $642.76
Potential profit: $581.69
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$41.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $641.26
Potential profit: $639.66
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $28.64
Potential payout: $636.36
Potential profit: $607.73
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$41.36

Yes position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $16.47
Potential payout: $621.43
Potential profit: $604.96
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $616.55
Potential profit: $616.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $604.17
Potential profit: $604.17
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.5

Yes position

US bank failure by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.86

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Yes position

US strikes Nigeria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.92

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.75

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.56

Yes position

North Korea missile launch by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.56

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.22

Yes position

Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.35

Yes position

Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.03

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.45

Yes position

Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.34

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.84

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Yes position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Yes position

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.34

Yes position

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

ChatGPT Outage by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 55% 18.18 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Yes 4.3% 115.35 shares
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Yes 0.8% 641.26 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 63.29 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 31.06 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 29.59 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Yes 11.5% 43.63 shares
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Yes 11% 36.36 shares
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares