Polymarket Trader

Blyaaaat

0x3301f3407fd5e2c3a0b49f223c7c31cbd173597e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $96.37
Realized PnL: $233.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $76.58
Potential profit: $71.49
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$2.91

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.31
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $30.19
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $36.26
Potential profit: $32.18
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $25.77
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $15.37
Potential payout: $31.06
Potential profit: $15.69
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.58
Potential profit: $28.58
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $27.99
Potential profit: $27.36
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$6.37

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $18.63
Potential profit: $13.26
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.84
Potential profit: $17.84
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $6.81
Potential payout: $15.65
Potential profit: $8.84
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.4%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $14.68
Potential profit: $10.23
Multiplier: 3.29x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $13.31
Potential profit: $10.84
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.31
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $11.73
Potential profit: $9.56
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $9.12
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.12

Yes position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $8.7
Potential profit: $6.52
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $3.22
Potential payout: $8.17
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $6.04
Potential profit: $4.81
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.63

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.23

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.19

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.05

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.73

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

No position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 9?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Aryna Sabalenka position

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $1.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

Yes 51% 5.88 shares
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

No 22% 22.73 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 49.7% 6.04 shares
Wimbledon 2026: Top-10 Seed to Lose in First Round? (Women’s Singles)

Yes 88% 1.14 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 25.6% 15.65 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 17.86 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 47.17 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 8% 37.5 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 29.41 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 18.63 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 18.4 shares