Polymarket Trader

LukeAlpha

0x330278eb937dbe7c6db7ac01346fd9e920ee79c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $0.6
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$7.51

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.95
Potential profit: $899.95
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700.73
Potential profit: $700.73
User PnL: -$7.01

Yes position

US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700.01
Potential profit: $700.01
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.98
Potential profit: $699.98
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" this week? (February 8)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650.99
Potential profit: $650.99
User PnL: -$6.51

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.67
Potential profit: $601.67
User PnL: -$6.02

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.02
Potential profit: $600.02
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $590.02
Potential profit: $590.02
User PnL: -$5.9

No position

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $574.22
Potential profit: $574.22
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Bill Clinton charged by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.13
Potential profit: $401.13
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.64
Potential profit: $353.64
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.73
Potential profit: $351.73
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.1
Potential profit: $350.1
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.09
Potential profit: $350.09
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.06
Potential profit: $350.06
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.04
Potential profit: $350.04
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.03
Potential profit: $350.03
User PnL: -$3.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Yes 0.7% 300 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Yes 1% 129.65 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Yes 1% 300 shares
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

No 0.1% 300 shares
Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?

Yes 0.6% 274.65 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?

Yes 2% 200 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Yes 2.1% 271.01 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

No 3% 300 shares
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Yes 1% 300 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

No 2% 50 shares
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?

Yes 1% 15 shares